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I am the kind of fantasy football player who will have a lot of different leagues, but none are quite as fun as a money league among some of your friends.  Getting together, drinking some beers and as always trash talking and the criticizing every pick that is cast.  I like doing mock drafts, and to be honest I probably did about 75ish mocks this pre-season.  However no mock I have done could have prepared me for the unpredictability of this league, where Calvin went 4, Foster went 6 and McCoy went 7th.  Fortunately for me I walked away with a squad I feel will be in the playoffs.  So without further ado my completed roster round by round from pick 7.

1.7- LeSean McCoy:  How it is possible for Foster and McCoy to go 6 and 7 I’m not sure but I am not going to complain…only laugh about the luck I had in this draft.

2.4- Chris Johnson:  Can Chris Johnson bounce back from his lackluster year in 2011?  He has the potential we all know that, and it also appears that he has the motivation as well.

3.7- Cam Newton:  Cam Newton at the end of the 3rd round?  RIDICULOUS!  He has the possibly the highest ceiling in fantasy football, and even if he regresses a bit, I feel he is almost a guarantee to finish in the top 8.

4.4- Julio Jones:  Speaking of high ceiling’s Jones could easily post numbers that are off the charts, and is a solid WR1 for any team in any format.

5.7- Hakeem Nicks:  Hakeem Nicks’ foot injury likely played a big part in him falling this far, but it still does not stop the fact that I ended up with a WR1 at the end of round 5.

6.4- Percy Harvin:  Harvin is now in both my money leagues and like I said I think that Harvin has huge potential considering he was the 8th highest scoring WR in only 58% of the snaps.

7.7- Tony Romo:  I had two solid RB’s and three solid WR’s, there were no TE’s worth drafting so I decided to go for Romo so that I have great QB depth in case of an injury.  Romo in the 7th was awesome.

8.4- Peyton Hillis:  I think that Hillis is going to split carries this season and should also see the goal line work, very good value for my RB3.

9.7- Jeremy Maclin:  Maclin in the end of the 9th I simply have no explanation for…simply amazing.

10.4- Stevan Ridley:  It’s pretty obvious that Ridley is the most talented RB on the Patriots and if they are smart they will use him a lot this season to keep defenses honest.

11.7- Kenny Britt:  And another league I have Britt on.  With only a 1 game suspension, and the skills to be a top 10 WR I just couldn’t pas him up.  Either way he is my 5th WR so even if he does not pan out I’ll be fine.

12.4- Kevin Smith:  He’s a starter, and at this point in the draft that’s more than you can reasonably expect.

13.7- Titus Young:  He’s been tearing it up in the pre-season, and even if he don’t pan out it will be alright considering he is nothing but a reserve.

14.4- Jared Cook:  Cook can breakout like I said, and I’m not worried about my TE…after the top 3 its all a crap shoot.

15.7- Texans DST:  People were taking DST’s as soon as the 8th round and none of them were this defense?  It just does not make sense.

16.4- Garret Harley:  Same with kickers, they were coming off the board early and he somehow got lost in the shuffle.

So there you have it, my league winning roster…I know there are no such things as sure things in fantasy, but this team does not have any flaws that I can see anyway.  As always comments are encouraged.

12 team leagues are more difficult to draft for than standard 10 team leagues, but when you throw the wrench of having an OP (offensive player utility) instead of a standard flex, things get crazy.   With an OP you can start any offensive player as your flex including a second QB, also in this league there is only a max of 2 QB’s allowed per roster.  My cousin and I split a team and I believe we drafted a team that has quite a bit of risk, but also potential for quite a bit of reward.  So without further ado, my results picking from the 7th spot.

1.7- Matthew Staford:  In a league where you can start a QB in the flex, having a strong QB core is a great strategy for success.  Stafford can throw for elite numbers and was by far the best pick available.

2.6- Eli Manning:  Decided to go for a second upper echelon QB right off the bat instead of a risk reward RB this early.

3.7-Trent Richardson:  Richardson is a rookie and some would caution against picking a rookie as your RB1, but considering he was the best available RB and has potential to be a true workhorse I just couldn’t pass up the great value.

4.6- Adrian Peterson:  It came down to Peterson or Steven Jackson, and considering Peterson could return to form and play to the pro-bowl standard we have grown to expect…the reward could be huge.

5. 7- Ahmad Bradshaw:  In a 12 team league there was no way I would pass on Bradshaw in the second half of the 5th round.

6.6- Pecy Harvin:  108 points in the final 8 games last season…if he picks up where he left off he could be a steal.  Am I the only one who remembers he was fantasy’s 8th highest scoring WR last season?  Oh and remember he did that playing 58% of the snaps.

7.7- Antonio Brown:  He had very similar numbers to Mike Wallace in all areas but in touchdowns.  I expect him to score much more than the deuce he put up last season and I think he can easily out perform Wallace this year.

8.6- Vincent Jackson:  How I ended up with Jackson this late I can’t explain…ridiculous.

9.7- Toby Gerhart:  Had to protect our investment with Peterson, and he was the best available at RB.

10.6- Kenny Britt:  It was the theme of our draft…finding outstanding value late for our WR’s

11.7- Mikel Leshoure:  I think Leshoure is capable of carrying the load for the Lions this season…after he comes back in week 3 from a suspension that is.

12.6-Jered Cook:  I always like to wait on my TE’s and Cook has potential to breakout this season.

13.7-Laurent Robinson:  Robinson easily might end up on the waiver wire soon, but because of his size he can easily get 30-40 yards and a TD any given week good enough for spot start come bye weeks.

14.6- Seahawks DST: The Seahawks DST I think is very underrated… I mean 6 of there games come against NFC West division rivals.

So there you have it the results from my 12 OP league.  We don’t play with kickers in this league so that is why it is not listed.  Any comments are always encouraged.

Updated WR Rankings

Because of the evolution of the passing game, WR has become the deepest position in fantasy football.  There are superstars who will cost you a pick in the first 2 or 3 rounds, but there is also plenty of value found in the middle and late rounds who can produce solid numbers as well.  And if you can find a gem like A.J. Green was last year, you could well be on your way to your leagues playoffs.  Following are my current rankings heading into the season.  Hopefully this reaches you in time for your labor day weekend drafts.   (ADP is according to ESPN)

1.  Calvin Johnson (ADP 7.4)  1,600 yards and 16 touchdowns may be hard to repeat, but he will still be a monster.

2.  Julio Jones (ADP 30.9)  If he recieves more targets he can easily push Megatron for the top scoring WR.  He is a freak!

3.  Greg Jennings (ADP 20.6)  He is playing for a contract and will re-assert himself as the top dog in Green Bay.

4.  Larry Fitzgerald (ADP 14.1)  He had the same QB’s throwing to him last year and all he did was post 1,411 yards and 8 touchdowns.

5.  Andre Johnson (ADP 15.4)  Can he stay healthy this season?  If he can he is among fantasy’s elite WR’s.

6.  Roddy White (ADP 19.7)  He will see less targets this year, but Matty Ice will sling the rock enough to make both him and Julio WR1’s.

7.  Wes Welker (ADP 23.2)  Its unlikely he posts numbers like last season, but he is definitely capable of 1,200 plus and 5 plus touchdowns.  He would be ranked higher in PPR obviously as he is almost guaranteed for 100 plus catches.

8.  A.J. Green (ADP 30.1)  Over 1,000 yards and 7 touchdowns in a rookie season is impressive, and even more so considering he had a fellow rookie throwing him the ball as well as limited time to prepare with a lockout.  He should easily push 1,200 yards and 8 or more touchdowns.

9.  Brandon Marshall (ADP 35.1)  If Marshall could put up 1,214 yards and 6 touchdowns with the likes of Matt Moore, imagine what he can do reunited with Jay Cutler.

10.  Hakeem Nicks (ADP 31.5)  Nicks’ problem has always been staying healthy…if his foot does not limit him this season he has the skills to put up top 10 numbers.

11.  Demaryius Thomas (ADP 66.4)  Peyton Manning’s top WR over the past 10 years have averaged 99 receptions, 1,300 yards and 10 touchdowns…enough said.  He is a steal in round 7 where his ADP is, but i would pull the trigger as soon as the 4th or 5th round, depending on how the draft goes.

12.  Jordy Nelson (ADP 38.4)  He likely will not post 15 touchdowns again, but he has the speed and body to get a lot of points in yards and scores.

13.  Victor Cruz (ADP 32.2)  He has the big play ability that can get you a lot of points as he can take it to the house whenever he has the ball in space.  Was he a one year wonder?  I doubt it, but I also doubt he can return top 4 numbers as he did last season.

14.  Steve Smith (ADP 44.4)  Smith is an elite WR in the NFL and he has great value in the 5th round.  I consider him a low end WR1 or high end WR2.

15.  Percy Harvin (ADP 55.9)  Harvin was fantasy’s 8th highest scoring WR last year playing in only 58% of the teams offensive plays.  He should see more time this season and if he can build on what he did down the stretch last year (108 points in final 8 games), I would not be surprised at all to see him post top 10 numbers yet again.

16.  Mike Wallace (ADP 27.6)  Wallace struggled down the stretch last year and it may take him a bit to get up to speed in this new offense.  He has the ability, but there is too much risk for me to draft him in the 3rd.

17.  Marques Colston (ADP 47.2)  Colston is an afterthought this season with the emergence of Jimmy Graham, but he is still capable of posting great numbers as he has posted 1,000 plus yards and at least 7 touchdowns in 5 of the past 6 years.

18.  Brandon Lloyd (ADP 51.9)  He is the deep threat the Patriots have been missing since the departure of Randy Moss, and I believe he is in line for a great season.  Brady has a lot of other weapons but Lloyd will have plenty of opportunities to take advantage of.

19.  Dez Bryant (ADP 45.0)  If Bryant can keep his head on straight he has true elite skills and can be in line for the fabled 3rd year breakout this season.

20.  Eric Decker (ADP 63.6)  Another candidate for a 3rd year breakout campaign, Decker has built a solid rapport with Manning and though I have him ranked at 20, I would not be surprised at all to see him post top 15 numbers.

21.  Dwayne Bowe (ADP 58.6)  He has had 3 1,000 plus yard seasons and has averaged 9 touchdowns in those seasons.  He had a down year but is playing for a contract and that is always a bonus in fantasy.

22.  Miles Austin (ADP 57.1)  Austin can be an elite fantasy WR if it weren’t for lagging injuries like the dual hamstrings he dealt with last season.  If he can put them behind him he should do fine this season as a WR2.

23.  Antonio Brown (ADP 64.9)  Brown can easily outplay this ADP as people tend to look at his fantasy production and not pay attention to his real numbers.  He had 1,108 yards on 123 targets, but only found the endzone twice.  He has been tearing it up this preseason and has a great chance to be the teams top fantasy option this year at all positions.  I have Wallace higher but Brown can easily outplay him.

24.  Vincent Jackson (ADP 57.4)  He as had a downgrade in QB this season and the team will likely run the ball a lot this season, but Jackson has big play ability and should put up over 1,000 yards and 7 plus touchdowns.

25.  Steve Johnson (ADP 68.1)  Johnson has now had over 1,000 yards in back to back season and he is now clear of a groin injury he dealt with last season.  He should improve those numbers this season.

26.  Jeremy Maclin (ADP 66.5)  Maclin has a better overall game than DeSean Jackson, but I don’t think Vick is anything more than just a mediocre passer.  I would not want Maclin on my roster as anything more than a WR3 or flex play.

27.  DeSean Jackson (ADP 63.9)  Like I just said I don’t like Vick as a passer, and you have to think Philly WR’s will have rookie Nick Foles throwing the ball at leas a couple games this season if and when Vick gets hurt.

28.  Pierre Garcon (ADP 83.8)  Garcon posted 947 yards and 6 touchdowns with Curtis Painter last season…RGIII is a serious upgrade at QB and he will be his primary target.

29.  Torrey Smith (ADP 82.7)  He is the WR to own in Baltimore and though he likely won’t be consistent, he is capable of putting up 20 plus points any given Sunday which is the kind of upside you would covet in a flex play.

30.  Justin Blackmon (ADP 110.3)  Maybe its bias because of the success Green and Jones had last season as rookies but I expect a good year for Blackmon.  He has great ball skills and can make people miss, and considering Gabbert will throw a ton this season he scan greatly outplay his round 12 ADP.  Because of his upside I would not mind reaching for him in round 8.

31.  Reggie Wayne  (ADP 99.5)  He still has some gas left in the tank and has a much better passer this season in rookie Andrew Luck.  Luck will also throw a lot so Wayne can very realistically post 1,000 yards and 5 or better touchdowns which would make his ADP look like a joke.

32.  Malcom Floyd (ADP 99.6)  Someone has to step up for the Chargers this season, and as Floyd has the most experience in the system I give him the edge.

33.  Robert Meachem (ADP 84.3)  Obviously the edge I give Floyd is not that big as I have Meachem here.  I just don’t know if he has what it takes to be a teams leading receiver.

34.  Lance Moore (ADP 104.9)  He has a QB who has posted 5,ooo yards twice…with Meachem gone Moore will see plenty of opportunity to step up this season.

35.  Kenny Britt (ADP 106.6)  Britt has the skills to be a top 10 WR ,but the fact that he is coming off of injury and has a possible suspension looming limit his value.  But if the suspension is short he can be a gem at this ADP.

36.  Nate Washington (ADP 115.0)  He posted up over 1,000 yards last season and 8 touchdowns, so we know he can flourish if Britt is unable to go.

37.  Darrius Heyward-Bey (ADP 123.9)  I think he becomes Palmers top target this season and if he can build on his campaign last season could be a good bye week filler or low end flex play.

38.  Anquan Bodin (ADP 98.8)  He has failed to post 900 yards in concecutive seasons, I see just a mediocre season yet again.

39.  Titus Young (ADP 117.1)  Young has a great chance to step up this season and can be a great sleeper as Megatron will demand double coverages, opening things up for Young to take advantage of.

40.  Denarius Moore (ADP 100.2)  He could also post good numbers if he gets healthy.

41.  Micheal Crabtree (ADP 107.3)  I don’t see Moss or Manningham taking over as the teams leading WR…but considering he has Alex Smith throwing the ball in a run first offense his potential is limited.

42.  Mike Williams (ADP 140.5)  I expect a bounce back campaign with Jackson drawing the coverage.  800 yards 4 or more touchdowns.

43.  Brandon LaFell (ADP 145.5)  If he can step up this season for Carolina he can be a great late round flier.

44.  Sidney Rice (ADP 122.8)  If he can stay healthy he can be a great WR…especially with limited competition.

45.  Kendall Wright (ADP 139.2)  He has looked impressive and would not shock me if he steps up in a big way for the Titans.

46.  Leonard Hankerson (ADP 150.4)  He has shown flashes, and could easily emerge as Washington’s second best WR.

47.  Ruben Randell (ADP 140.2)  Has drawn comparisons to teammate Hakeem Nicks and the Giants run enough 3 receiver sets to make him fantasy relevant.

48.  Santonio Holmes (ADP 102.3)  I am avoiding all Jets this draft (maybe not Green if he falls) and given his ADP he wont be on my rosters this season.

49.  Greg Little (ADP 143.4)  Someone has to step up for the Browns and Little is the likeliest to do so.

50.  Brian Quick (ADP 170.0)  Same for the Rams, someone needs to step up…maybe he can be relevant this season.

 

UPDATED RB Rankings

Anyone who has played fantasy for a few years has noticed that the RB position is being continually harder and harder to predict because of the rise of the passing game.  This year in particular is the hardest to predict because outside the top 3 runners every single option comes with question marks.  Will MJD holdout?  Will Johnson bounce back?  Can Lynch maintain beast mode now that he is paid?  Can Charles, and Peterson bounce back from a torn ACL?  Can Mathews and DMC stay healthy?  Can the rookies Richardson and Martin live up to the hype?  These are all concerns for the upcoming season and the truth is that only time will tell.  But we as fake football managers need to try and sort out the players who can help our team the most.  So following is my attempt to rank the top 30 RB’s in the league.  (All ADP/analysis/points use ESPN and ESPN standard scoring)

1.  Ray Rice (ADP 3.5)  Has had 2,000 yards from scrimmage 2 out of the past 3 years and is the teams 3rd down and goal line back.  He wont come off the field much and has Leach paving lanes for him.

2.  LeSean McCoy (ADP 5.1)  Will he sore another 20 touchdowns this season?  Probably not but he is almost a lock to post 1600 plus scrimmage yards and double digit touchdowns.

3.  Arian Foster (ADP 2.4)  He is probably the second most talented back in the league behind a healthy Adrian Peterson, but with Ben Tate in town I don’t see him as fantasy’s top RB.

4.  Chris Johnson (ADP 10.1)  Chris Johnson dissapointed countless owners last season but I think he is motivated again and is in line for a bounce back season.  He stated this off season he still views himself as the best RB in the league and wants to be the only RB in history to go over 2,000 rushing yards twice.  That probably wont happen but he is still capable for a huge season.

5.  Darren McFadden (ADP 21.1)  If McFadden can stay healthy for an entire season he can easily be fantasy’s top scoring back this season especially considering he is now the goal line back with Michael Bush gone.  That is a big if, but I still feel that 13 plus games from DMC is worth a late 1st round early 2nd round pick.

6.  Matt Forte (ADP 15.3)  Even with Brandon Marshall in town Forte is still going to get plenty of touches this season both on carries and catches.  Now that he is paid 1500 scrimmage yards and 6 plus touchdowns is easily within reach.  Just remember the Bears didn’t pay Michael Bush $1o million to just ride the pine, he will get touches especially near the goal line.

7.  Ryan Mathews  (ADP 37.7)  Yes Ryan Mathews has a broken collarbone and might not make it back till week 3, but in 14 games last season he still posted 1,547 scrimmage yards and 6 touchdowns and that was with Mike Tolbert stealing touches.  Once he is back on the field there is no other significant RB to take away touches, and if he is able to somehow make it back week 1 he will be the steal of the year.  I would not scoff at taking him in the 2nd round, it will be worth it in the end.

8.  Marshawn Lynch  (ADP 16.4)  Was last season just Lynch running for a contract, or is this the something we can expect to continue?  Its a risk because players who get paid sometimes underwhelm the following season but with the murky atmosphere in RB this season he is definitely worth this rank.

9.  Jammal Charles (ADP 24.6)  Hillis is in town and will take away a lot of looks away, but Charles has flourished in a time share before with Thomas Jones.  He has had almost a full year to recover from a torn ACL and should be able to hit the ground running and show what made him a 1st round selection last season.

10.  Trent Richardson (ADP 37.1)  He has had his knee scoped twice this season but as the second procedure was a clean up job and he is slated to make a week 1 return I think Richardson will flourish this season.  He may be eased into action the first couple weeks but he will take the reins of the running game quickly and show why he is being touted as the best RB prospect since Adrian Peterson.  He can easily post 1,300 yards and double digit touchdowns this season.

11.  Demarco Murray (ADP 21.6)  In the short time frame from week 7 to week 12 Murray showed he has potential to be a fantasy star as he averaged 126.8 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.  Sure Murray has had injury issues dating back to college and has only 2 touchdowns as a pro, but like I said with the present NFL climate he is still a top option and can be considered a low end RB1.

12.  Steven Jackson (ADP 31.3)  Jackson is not a sexy name in fantasy football but the fact remains that he has averaged 1,604 scrimmage yards and 8 touchdowns per season since 2005.  Yes he has had a very heavy workload and may be slowing down a bit, but there is still some gas left in the tank and he should still post solid numbers this season.  In fact with the addition of Isaiah Pead in the backfield, Jackson will be able to stay fresher this season allowing him to keep it going through December. 

13.  Fred Jackson (ADP 34.1)  Jackson was on pace to be one of the top fantasy scorers last season before he broke his leg.  In his absence C.J. Spiller showed what he could do with a lead role, but with Jackson healthy he should still see the lion share of the carries.  I think Jackson will be a top end RB2 and is great value late in the 3rd or late 4th depending on who is sill available.

14.  Ahmad Bradshaw (ADP 46.8)  The Giants selected RB David Wilson in the 1st round, but Bradshaw is still going to see the lion share of the carries.  He has had some foot problems which limited his 2011 season, but those appear to be solved.  If healthy he will be anoter high end RB2 and the fact that he has an ADP of round 5 make him an absolute steal.

15.  Michael Turner (ADP 34.7)  Turner had a definite drop in production in the second half of the season as he scored 88 fantasy points in the final 8 games with 29 coming against a Tampa Bay team that had completely quit playing.  If you take out that huge game he scored 59 points in 7 games while scoring 115 in the first 8 games.  But to be honest with the RB position this season being as it is he still qualifies as a good RB2.  He has had double digit touchdowns every season since 2008 so if e can continue that trend should be fine.  Just be warned the cliff is coming.

16. Maurice Jones-Drew (ADP 10.2)  If there were no holdout MJD would easily be my 4th ranked RB, but as things stand now I would not want MJD on my team.  Who knows what will happen with the holdout, and when/if he does report you have to wonder if how long it will be before he gets into football shape and if he will get injured.  If you do roll the dice drafting Rashad Jennings is a must.

17.  Adrian Peterson (ADP 22.0)  The history of RB’s coming off of torn ACL’s is not pretty and the later the injury occurs the worse the following season usually is.  A.D.  has barley been cleared for contact, and I fear that he is rushing his recovery.  If he performs like he has for the majority of the season then he is a huge bargain, but it is too much risk for me.  Personally I would not touch him till the 3rd round, meaning he is not going to be on my rosters this season.

18.  Doug Martin (ADP 67.5)  Martin has clearly earned the starting gig in Tampa as he has a skill set that Blount does not.  He is a very capable RB2, and id feel very comfortable taking him with a late 4th early 5th round pick (depending on who is available)

19.  Reggie Bush (ADP 53.6)  Bush finally had his breakout year after many wrote him off because of his lack of success in New Orleans, posting 1,382 scrimmage yards and 7 touchdowns.  Still he is far from durable and you have to wonder if Daniel Thomas might take over at some point in the season.

20.  Darren Sproles (ADP43.4)  If this were PPR Sproles would be ranked much higher, but in standard leagues I really do not see him as anything more than an average to low end RB2.  I personally do not think that he can have another season like last year with Mark Ingram and Pierre Thomas taking away opportunities.

21.  Willis McGahee (ADP 50.6)  McGahee showed that he still had tread left on the tires last season accumulating 1,250 scrimmage yards and 5 scores.  With Peyton Manning in town and a suddenly strong passing game defenses will be unable to stack the box, which will lead McGahee to have another strong season.

22.  Frank Gore (ADP 36.2)  I know that Gore has been productive his entire career, but I think this year he slows down quite a bit.  With Jacobs, Hunter, and James also in the backfield Gore will be hard pressed to see the amount of touches necessary to justify anything more than a average RB2.

23.  Shonn Greene (ADP 67.8)  Offensive coordinator Tony Sparano has stated that he sees Greene getting more than the 253 carries he had last season, and with New York’s dreadful passing game its not hard to imagine that being true.  Tebow will vulture a lot of touchdowns, but the opportunity is there for Greene to post 1,000 plus yards yet again.

24.  Steven Ridley (ADP 64.9)  Ridley has looked impressive this preseason and looks to have the starting RB position in New England won.  I think that he has upside to post 1,000 plus yards and 8 or more touchdowns.

25.  BenJarvus Green-Ellis (ADP 58.2)  Green-Ellis’ value was tied in large part to his ability to score touchdowns as he scored 24 times in the past 2 years.  He is a mediocre runner who play’s in for a team who will not be in the red zone enough for him to be anything but a decent RB3 or flex play.

26.  Cedric Benson (ADP 98.8)  Benson will be the RB to own in Green Bay as Alex Green is still working his way to full strength and James Starks who has been riddled with injuries his entire career is slow to recover from a toe injury.  I think with Benson in town the Packers might run the ball a bit more than they have to keep defenses honest and to open up the play action.  He should be a decent option who has ridiculous value starting in round 7.

27.  Jonathan Stewart (ADP 69.4)  I’m not a big fan of Carolina RB’s because of the committee approach they have with 4 very capable runners.  Stewart is in my opinion the most talented back on the team and despite splitting carries has still been a decent flex option every season.

28.  DeAngelo Williams (ADP 84.6)  Like I just mentioned Carolina has too many RB’s which is good in real life but bad for us fake football owners.  I actually like Williams the best this season in Carolina because of his ADP (like I said I still like Stewart better overall)

29.  Peyton Hillis (ADP 90.3)  Don’t discount Hillis this year because of last season, he should get 45% of the carries and most importantly should see the goal line touches.  His ADP is the best at his position this year and I would feel comfortable taking him in round 6-7 depending on my needs and who is available.

30.  Donald Brown (ADP 101.4)  He is a starting RB for a team with a rookie QB meaning he should see a decent amount of touches to make his current ADP of round 11 look like a joke.

31.  Kevin Smith (ADP 89.9)  As of right now he is the Lions starting RB because of a injured Jahvid Best and suspended Mikel Leshoure.  Will he hold it after week 3 when Leshoure comes back?  I have my doubts.

32.  Ben Tate (ADP 83.8)  The best backup RB in the NFL showed what he could do last season posting nearly 1000 rushing yards and should see enough time this season to be an average RB3 or flex play.

33.  Rashad Jennings (ADP 127.5)  Every day the MJD holdout drags on the more value Jennings will gain.  Personally I would be happy if MJD decides to pull a Vincent Jackson and leave the door open for Jennings to be a great draft day steal.  With no MJD he would be a very capable RB2.

34.  Michael Bush (ADP 92.0)  The Bears didn’t pay Bush $10 million to sit on the bench…he should see plenty of touches this season and get TD’s as he is one of the best goal line backs in the league.

35.  Mark Ingram (ADP 99.4)  He just might show the NFL what made him the lone RB selected in the 1st round in 2011.

36.  C.J. Spiller (ADP 94.1)  Spiller exploded last season for an injured Fred Jackson scoring 89 fantasy points in 6 games.  Chan Gailey has said he sees Spiller and Jackson being on the field together this season, so he should get enough looks to warrant decent flex play consideration.

37.  Ryan Williams (ADP 132.3)  He in my opinion is the more talented back out of him and Wells and as Wells has had injury issues his career I feel Williams will eventually either win out the job or else take over if Beanie gets hurt.

38.  Mikel Leshoure (ADP 143.3)  Like I said I think he takes over for the Lions after his suspension lifts week 3.

39.  Toby Gerhart (ADP 111.2)  Gerhart will see plenty of touches early this season as Peterson recovers…how long it will last I have no idea.

40.  David Wilson (ADP 107.7)  He will spell Bradshaw enough to be an o.k. bench stash and possible flex play in deep leagues.  Also if Bradshaw who has not been the picture of health lately gets injured, Wilson could easily take over.

The NFL over the past decade has become increasingly more pass happy making the QB position even more of a priority than in years past.  Think about the top QB’s in the league: Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Mathew Stafford, Eli Manning…all are pro bowl caliber signal callers and each of their respective teams have legit chances to make deep playoff runs and possibly end their season with the Lombardi trophy.  Like the NFL, in fantasy having an elite signal caller like Rodgers or Brady will help your team because the points these players can generate on a weekly basis are typically higher than other positions.  However because so many teams are airing the ball out, there are a number of QB’s who can lead your team this season.  Following are my top 24 signal callers for this fantasy season (24 because I assume most leagues are 10-12 teams and most teams have 2 QB’s on their roster) also all points/analysis/ADP use espn.com info and standard scoring.

1.  Aaron Rodgers (ADP-2.8):  He was the top QB scorer last season despite playing in only 15 games and managed to score 20 or more fantasy points in 14 of his 15 starts.  I mean really do I need to convince you why he is ranked 1st?

2.  Tom Brady (ADP-5.2):  Brady threw for 5,235 yards and 39 touchdowns last season without a true deep threat.  Now with Brandon Lloyd in town to stretch the field along with two elite TE’s and his favorite target Wes Welker, Brady is in for a great year.  Don’t forget the last time Brady had a deep threat (Randy Moss) and Josh McDaniels as his OC, he went off for 4,806 yards and 50 touchdowns!  Expect big things this season from him.

3.  Drew Brees (ADP-6.9):  He has been fantasy gold since arriving in New Orleans as he has averaged 4,732 yards and 33 touchdowns, and thrown for over 5,000 yards twice including the record setting 5,476 yards he had last season.  Sean Payton is suspended, but I don’t see it having too big of an impact on Brees this year, he knows the offense inside and out and should continue to put up big numbers.

4.  Mathew Stafford (ADP-12.0):  Stafford showed last season why he was a former #1 overall draft pick as he threw for over 5,000 yards and 41 touchdowns lifting the Lions to their first playoff appearance since 1999.  Detroit has plenty of weapons for Stafford to throw the ball to like Titus Young and Brandon Pettigrew, oh and that guy they call Megatron is pretty decent too.  Look for Stafford to again show he is among the league’s elite signal callers.

5.  Cam Newton (ADP-16.5):  Anyone who was wise enough to draft Cam last season with a late round pick or else plucked him off the waiver wire was rewarded with huge dividends as he threw for over 4,000 yards and had 31 total touchdowns.  Newton had arguably the best rookie campaign in NFL history which was remarkable considering that he had very limited time to get prepared because of the lockout last season.  Some will argue that Cam is in for a down year, but even if he throws for 3,300 yards 20 touchdowns and 15 interceptions (very pedestrian numbers) his running ability will vault him again in the top 10 of QB’s.  For instance if he throws for the above mentioned numbers and has an additional 450 yards and 5 touchdowns on the ground (he had 706/14 last season) he would end up with 257 fantasy points which would have placed him 9th among QB’s.  So by drafting Cam you are getting a player who’s floor is a top 10 QB and who’s ceiling could potentially be the top scorer in fantasy.

6.  Eli Manning (ADP-27.6):  Eli is the most underrated passer in the NFL and showed last year he belongs in the discussion among the top QB’s in the league as he threw for 4,933 yards and 29 touchdowns.  With the weapons he has in Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz and rookie Ruben Randle I feel very confident in Eli as an upper echelon QB1 in fantasy and is the best option if you do not want to spend a 1st or 2nd round pick on your signal caller.  While I do like Eli this season I would not reach for him in the 3rd round which is were his current ADP is but would consider grabbing him with a late 4th or early 5th round pick.

7.  Tony Romo (ADP-50.0):  Romo has been one of the top fantasy QB’s for a while now as he has averaged 4,292 yards and 31 touchdowns the three seasons he has been healthy enough to play all 16 games.  He does have a bit of injury risk as he has missed multiple games 2 of the past 5 seasons and is playing with a pretty poor offensive line.  However I still feel that Romo is worthy of the #7 rank and is still a fine QB1 for your squad.

8.  Phillip Rivers (ADP-61.4):  Fantasy football players tend to have short memories which will cause Rivers to fall on many draft boards because of the abysmally high 20 interceptions and 5 lost fumbles he had last season.  However he did get better as the season wore on throwing for 16 touchdowns and 6 interceptions in the second half of the season compared to 11 touchdowns and 14 interceptions in the first.  Despite his struggles he still had 4,624 yards and 27 touchdowns last season and has averaged 4,400 yards and 30 touchdowns the past 4 seasons.  Don’t hesitate to take rivers he is going to be just fine this season.

9.  Michael Vick (ADP-38.3):  If Vick could stay injury free for an entire season he could be fantasy’s top scorer, but it is something he just has not been able to do most of his career.  When he is on the field he is a fantasy machine as he still has speed and elusiveness to gain considerable statistics on the ground.  If you draft Vick make sure that you invest in a solid QB 2 someone like Matt Ryan (who himself can easily be a top 10 option this year), Jay Cutler, or Big Ben as insurance.

10.  Peyton Manning (ADP-44.6):  I went back and forth ranking Vick and Manning but decided that since Vick has higher upside and both players in my opinion need a solid backup plan I would give the edge to Vick.  You know the warning signs he had neck fusion surgery and has not played in nearly 2 years, but if anybody can come back from that its Manning.  He has the best mind of any QB in history and so I feel confident that Manning can bounce back and have a terrific year.  If he stays healthy I think 4,000 plus yards and 30 touchdowns are easily in reach.

11.  Matt Ryan (ADP-61.9):  Ryan finished last season with an 8th place finish in fantasy points and enjoyed a breakout season with career highs in both yards and touchdowns with 4,177 and 29 respectively.  The Falcons are moving toward a more heavily pass oriented attack which will only benefit Ryan.  He is easily capable of posting top 10 numbers yet again and is a huge bargain this year.  He has an ADP right behind Rivers at 61 which is worth his value because he is the last QB I would truly feel safe with leading my fantasy team.

12.  Jay Cutler (ADP-97.4):  Cutler I think is in for a career year as he finally has a solid stable of WR’s to throw to lead by Brandon Marshall.  Couple this with the fact that he has one of the leagues best catch passing backs in Matt Forte and you get an offense who is poised to be explosive.  Offensive line troubles aside Cutler should be a Fringe QB1 in standard leagues and a solid starter in leagues with 12 plus teams.  Given his ADP of 97 he is an absolute steal!

13.  Matt Schaub (ADP-86.4):  If you were to prorate Matt Schaub’s numbers last season you would get 3,996 yards and 24 touchdowns which is pretty impressive considering Andre Johnson was only available for a “full” 3 games with him.  The Texans like to run and run and run some more but now that Schaub is healthy again and has Johnson back I think he is in line for a good bounce back year.  Don’t forget the previous two seasons in 2009 and 2010 e averaged 4,570 yards and nearly 27 touchdowns.  He should be fine and with a ADP of 86 he is well worth the pick.

14.  Ben Roethlisberger (ADP-81.5):  Big Ben was somewhat of a disappointment the past 2 seasons but is poised for a bounce back campaign.  The Steelers rushing attack is lead by a banged up Issac Redman, and Jonathan Dwyer.  Rashard Mendenhall may not be on the PUP list but is still not going to see the field anytime soon.  With the lack of a run game Pittsburgh will have to air it out and they have a trio of talented WR’s who can get the job done in Mike Wallace, Antonio Brown, and Emanuel Sanders.  If Ben can stay healthy which may be a challenge due to his past ailments (has not played a full season since 2008) he could live up to his ADP in the 9th round.  I however would not by any means stretch for him.

15.  Carson Palmer (ADP-135.4):  I do not see why so many people are down on Palmer this year, I think he played very well considering he came in mid-season to a new team.  If you were to prorate Palmer’s numbers last season he would have amassed 4,688 yards and 23 touchdowns.  He did have a lot of interceptions last season with 10 in 9 starts, but give him some slack he had to learn a new system in the matter of two weeks.  I think Palmer will be fine this season as he has had time to learn the offense and work with his receivers, so all things considered he should be a fine QB2 who is ridiculous value with an ADP of 135 in the middle of the 14th round!

16.  Jake Locker (ADP-144.1):  Locker in 3 partial games accumulated 586 total yards and 5 combined touchdowns with no interceptions good for 46 fantasy points (15.3 avg).  I can’t wait to see what this kid can do as a starter this season.  Yes he has some accuracy issues but because of his ability to gain yardage and touchdowns on the ground I feel he has great upside, and to be honest I prefer QB2’s with high upside instead of middle of the road QB’s with low ceilings.  (also its worth noting that his ADP is likely to rise quickly considering he is now the starter.)

17.  Andrew Luck (ADP-112.9):  As you likely already know Andrew Luck is the most highly touted QB since fellow Stanford product John Elway came into the league.  Andrew has all of the intangibles that it takes to become an elite QB in the league.  Still he is a rookie and will have some growing pains this season, but considering the Colts are likely to be playing from behind often this season he will be throwing the ball quite a bit.  Don’t discount the colts, they still have some play makers like Reggie Wayne and Austin Collie and have drafted additional help via the draft with Coby Fleener, Dwayne Allen and Ty Hilton.  Also he has ability to add points on his legs as he had the same 40 yard dash time (4.59) as Cam Newton.  All things considered I’d rather have Luck on my roster than any other rookie including RGIII.

18.  Robert Griffin III (ADP-85.2):  Like I said I’d rather have Luck on my roster, but RGIII is another great QB2 who can post solid numbers this season.  If you were to combine Rex Grossman’s and John Beck’s numbers last season you would get 4,009 yards and 18 touchdowns.  RGIII is considerably more talented and with the addition of Pierre Garcon and Josh Morgan to the receiving corps along with his obvious upside he brings in the running game, he should be a very strong QB2.

19.  Joe Flacco (ADP-119.5):  Flacco is a pretty good QB2 this season as he has averaged 3,615 yards and 22 touchdowns the past three seasons.  He has decent receivers in the sure handed Anquan Boldin and a deep threat in Torrey Smith, not to mention the best pass catching back in the league in Ray Rice.  Can Flacco take the next step this season?  If he does he will be worth every bit of his draft slot.

20.  Josh Freeman (ADP-120.9):  Freeman had an off year with a whopping 22 interceptions and only 16 touchdowns only one year after posting 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions.  However the entire Buccaneer team appeared to quit during the season, that should not be the case this year.  With the addition of Carl Nicks at guard the Buc’s have one of the best O-Lines in football so he should have plenty of time to throw the ball.  The arrivals of Vincent Jackson and rookie Doug Martin will also add fire power to help stimulate the offense this season.  Considering his ADP you really aren’t risking much to get him.

21.  Ryan Fitzpatrick (ADP-138.1):  Fitzpatrick started the season strong with 64 fantasy points through the first 3 games then struggled for the rest his season.  He was very up and down as he scored 14 or more fantasy points in 7 contests while scoring single digits in the same amount of games.  If he can stay steady this season he could drastically outplay his ADP.

22.  Andy Dalton (ADP-120.1):  Dalton had a great rookie season with 3,398 yards and 20 touchdowns which was even more impressive considering he had limited time to prepare for the season with the NFL lockout.  He has one of the best young talents to throw to in A.J. Green and if he can avoid a sophomore slump should put up even better numbers.

23.  Alex Smith (ADP-117.8):  Smith is the definition of a game manager, he is efficient with the ball and his main job is to not lose the game for them.  Many look to the additions of Randy Moss, Mario Manningham, and A.J. Jenkins and instantly think that Smith is in for a career year.  However I look at the addition of Brandon Jacobs and LaMichael James into an already stacked backfield and see the 49ers running and running and running some more this season.  And ask yourself this…even if he is in store for a career is that really saying much considering his best season came last year with 3,144 yards and 17 touchdowns?  I think not.  Don’t be a fool and reach for Smith because he is still just average, however if he falls to the 12-13th round he is not a bad option.

24.  Christian Ponder (ADP-170):  Ponder is going un-drafted in many leagues because there is such a strong stable of QB’s this year.  Still I think that ponder can be a decent QB2 this season especially if the Vikings realize the need to use Harvin more and once Jerome Simpson comes back from a suspension.  At this point in the draft you could definitely do worse.

So there you have it fantasy fans my updated QB rankings for the 2012 season.  Hopefully I did this with enough time to help those of you with late drafts.  As always comments are encouraged.

dbearbrown89:

I think Locker is going to be a very good QB2 in the later rounds

Originally posted on NFL.com Blogs:

The Tennessee Titans will go with Jake Locker as their starting quarterback in 2012, our Michael Lombardireports. But let’s cut to the chase; what does this mean for his fantasy value.?

I’ve started a new category for fantasy football called elite backups. Basically, it’s high-upside quarterbacks who haven’t quite reached QB1 status, but you’d still be comfortable with them in your lineup because of injuries or bye weeks. I prefer guys who could have huge seasons, compared to guys like Joe Flacco, Matt Schaub and even Carson Palmer. You know what you’re getting with those guys, and it’s not much. So to me, it’s better to take a chance with a guy like Locker who was one of the biggest sleeper prospects on NFL.com this season.

Locker is now No. 16 in my QB rankings, still below guys like Ben Roethlisberger, Matt Ryan and Michael…

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dbearbrown89:

Don’t sleep on Hillis

Originally posted on NFL.com Blogs:

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Your fantasy team plays in the NFL, and you should too! Sign up today to play the official free and customizable fantasy game of the National Football League!

After losing star running back Jamaal Charles to an ACL injury in 2011, the Kansas City Chiefs were forced to turn to a three-headed rushing attack that included Thomas Jones, Jackie Battle and Dexter McCluster. Though the trio racked up 1,591 total yards, they could only post three touchdowns on the season. In response to their red-zone woes, the Chiefs signed Peyton Hillis this offseason with the hopes he could reclaim his 2010 swagger after an injury-riddled 2011. So far, it looks like they made a good decision. In just two preseason games, Hillis has rushed nine times for 52 yards and a touchdown to go along with one reception for an 11-yard…

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I have looked for draft bargains across the league and end my search with the NFC North.  The division has some big time fantasy studs like Aaron Rodgers and Calvin Johnson but also some players who are flying under the radar who can provide nice depth for your roster.  I may sound like a broken record, but it is important to realize that finding players who are available mid to late in fantasy drafts are what separate the good teams from the bad and it takes a lot more research than simply looking at a rankings list.  The following players as well as other draft bargains I have listed were not chosen because of rankings or projections but on my instincts that they are being undervalued in fantasy drafts this season.  Finding fantasy gems like Victor Cruz or Jimmy Graham are extremely difficult and is often a combination of analysis and luck.  So following are three players who I feel have the opportunity and skill set to outplay their current ADP.  (all points/ADP/analysis use ESPN standard scoring and ESPN ADP)

1.  Jay Cutler (ADP, 99.4):  Cutler has not exactly lit up the fantasy world since being traded to Chicago, but when you stop and look at the talent around him is it really all that surprising?  No disrespect to Earl Bennett or Johnny Knox but Brandon Marshall and Ashlon Jeffery offer a lot more explosiveness to help Cutler in the passing game.  Cutler had his best season in 2008 throwing for 4,526 yards and 25 touchdowns with the Denver Broncos.  With the exception of last season in which he only played 10 games, Cutler has never thrown for under 3,200 yards and 20 touchdowns.  Prorate his 2011 totals he would have posted over 3,700 yards and 20 touchdowns.  With the upgrades at WR this season and Matt Forte signed to help with screens and underneath routes, Cutler has very good upside this season.  I have him as my 13th ranked QB and could be a spot starter this season or your QB1 if you play in a 12 team plus league.  If his O-line can step up from their abysmal performance last season I think Cutler has potential to post 4,000 plus yards and 25 or more touchdowns.  Don’t hesitate to take Cutler this season as he can be taken after round 9 and has potential to be a top 10 QB this season.

2.  Percy Harvin (ADP, 59.6):  Harvin was the 8th highest fantasy scorer among wide-outs last season which makes me wonder why he is being drafted as the 21st WR towards the end of the 6th round.  Despite only being in on 58% of the offensive snaps (per ESPN) he managed to score an impressive 165 points.  What is more impressive is how he came alive during the second half of the season as he scored 114 points during his final 8 games compared to 51 in his first 8.  With Adrian Peterson’s injury uncertain at this point I see the Vikings leaning heavily on Harvin this season both out wide and in the backfield giving him plenty of opportunity to produce.  Harvin is viewing this season as a contract year something that is always a bonus for fantasy purposes and should he pick up where he left off last season can be a solid WR1 who can be had at a WR2 or 3 price.

3. Michael Bush (ADP, 89.5):  Michael Bush has the skill set to be a top fantasy back in the league however he has chosen to go from backing up Darren McFadden to backing up Matt Forte.  Still the Bears did not pay Bush a $14 million contract to just ride the bench and should be utilized a good amount in Chicago especially near the goal line as he is one of the best TD vultures in the League.  Forte will get the lion share of the carries but Bush will get enough looks that could make him a decent RB3 or 4 who could be used in the flex or for bye weeks.  Bush could post 700 plus yards and 7 plus touchdowns this season and is a must have handcuff for Forte owners.

So there you have it fantasy fans the conclusion of my attempt to locate the top draft day bargains this fantasy season.  Hopefully these players pan out this season and can help you in your fantasy leagues.  Thanks for reading and if you have not already done so please check out the rest of my posts about draft bargains.  And as always opinions and comments are encouraged.

 

The NFC South has some powerhouse fantasy talent with the likes of Drew Brees and Cam Newton highlighting the division.  Besides these two big names there are many other household fantasy names that will be drafted in the first 5 rounds such as Jimmy Graham and Julio Jones, but there are also nice options available in the middle to late rounds who can help your fantasy team this season.  Following are three names that are great bargains this year and can both help you and also out play their ADP.  (All points/ADP’s/analysis use ESPN.com and ESPN standard scoring)

1.  Brandon LaFell (ADP, 152.9):  Dez Bryant, Victor Cruz, Julio Jones, Jordy Nelson…what do all of these players have in common?  They are WR2’s on a team with a 4,000 plus yard passer who are all being selected in the early rounds of fantasy drafts.  So where is the love for Brandon LaFell this season?  Now I am not saying that LaFell has the upside of any of these players but he certainly has a lot of upside and I think it is outright ridiculous he is being drafted behind the likes of Terrell Owens, Michael Floyd, Randall Cobb and many other WR’s.  In limited action last season LaFell posted decent numbers with 613 yards and 3 touchdowns on only 36 catches.  LaFell’s 17 average yard per catch last season was the 12th highest in the NFL ahead of big play receivers such as DeSean Jackson, Mike Wallace, and A.J. Green.  This season as the number 2 wide-out in Carolina with Steve Smith drawing most of the coverage I feel LaFell has good upside and could easily post 800 plus yards and 5 or more TD’s worthy of a flex play in standard formats.  I would not draft him to be my WR3 but as a WR4 or 5 with a lot of upside.  Considering his upside and the fact that he can be drafted in the last 2 rounds in drafts make him my top bargain, not only for the NFC South, but for the entire NFL.

2.  Doug Martin (ADP, 78.4):  New head coach Greg Schiano has said that making Martin the Buccaneers lead back is the plan this season.  Though he is still only 2nd on the depth chart it seems as only a matter of time before he surpasses incumbent starter LeGarrette Blount for the starting gig.  He is only a rookie but he should see plenty of snaps this season as he is very efficient in both pass blocking and catching out of the backfield, two areas that Blount struggles with.  It is always risky drafting a rookie runner in the NFL but considering he is being drafted as the 28th RB off the board toward the end of the 8th round he should be well worth the risk.  In a 10 team league I think it is safe to grab martin as early as the 5th or 6th round, and I like him a lot more than players Roy Helu, Stevan Ridley, and Jonathan Stewart who are all being drafted ahead of him.  All things considered Martin is capable of 1000 plus APY (all purpose yards) and 5 plus touchdowns making him a low end 2 or solid flex play in standard 10 team leagues.

3.  Tony Gonzalez (ADP, 90.2):  I still do not understand why so many fantasy players are taking Jimmy Graham or Rob Gronkowski in the 2nd round when you can get a solid TE like Gonzalez 7-8 rounds later.  I understand the logic that because they can score points like WR1’s it gives your team an advantage, but in order to get a top 2 TE you will have to forgo a WR1 or solid RB which to me is not worth it.  Gonzalez is a lock for the Hall of fame as he is the most decorated TE in NFL history.  Since arriving in Atlanta he has posted 867, 656, and 875 yards and 19 total touchdowns.  He is a solid TE that you can grab in round 9 that can post just as solid of numbers as many TE’s being selected ahead of him.  Atlanta is looking to air it out this season and I think that Gonzalez could have a very successful final season, probably somewhere in the neighborhood of what he did last season 850-900 yards and 7 touchdowns.  Once the top TE’s come off the board don’t hesitate to snag the seasoned vet and be happy when he produces similar production.  Oh and here’s one last fun fact about Tony Gonzalez…since 1998 he has only missed 2 games due to injury so he should be good for the whole season.

There you have it my top draft bargains for the NFC South.  This is a division with a lot of talent in the middle and late rounds so this list was a challenge but I did my best.  As always comments are encouraged.

 

 

 

The NFC East is one of the most stacked divisions in the NFL in terms of fantasy football players.  Their are many players in the division who will be taken in the first few rounds like McCoy, Murray, Romo, Vick, Manning, Cruz, Nicks, and Bradshaw just to name a few.  And while these players are all fantasy producers, there is still value to be had in the middle to late rounds that can help you win your league.  Following are 3 players I feel offer the most value for their draft slots… (all analysis/points/etc. done at ESPN.com and use standard scoring.)

1.  Fred Davis:  Fred Davis has tremendous value at TE this season and could easily post top 10 numbers at his position.  In 2011 Davis accumulated 796 yards and 3 touchdowns in only 12 games before being suspended for the final 4 games.  Last season with sub-par QB play he still managed 9 or more fantasy points in 7 out of the 12 games.  Now with RGIII running the offense I see a lot of targets for Davis because of his ability to get open and stable of unproven/mediocre WRs in Washington.  Chris Cooley appears healthy this season but Davis has proven he is worth the being the starting TE this season and Cooley should not put a dent in Davis’ production this season.  Currently Davis ADP (average draft position) is the 9th TE off the board and 104 overall meaning he should be available in round 10 and offer great value for your fantasy squad.  He should have numbers at least close to players like Vernon Davis (ADP: 52), Jason Witten (ADP: 60) and Jermichael Finley (ADP: 67), so considering that he can be had 50 to 30 picks later than these players he is the definition of a draft bargain.

2.  Robert Griffin III:  After the insane rookie season Cam Newton had last season, people are drooling over RGIII thinking he can produce similar numbers.  I’m not so optimistic because Newton had the best rookie season in NFL history throwing for over 4,000 yards and combining for 31 total touchdowns (14 on the ground, an NFL record for QB’s.)  That being said RGIII still has a high ceiling this season as he can rack up fantasy points both through the air and on the ground.  If you were to combine the statistics of Rex Grossman and John Beck last season you get a 4,000 yard 18 touchdown QB.  That being said RGIII is head and shoulders above these players and is well worth his current ADP as the 13th QB and 82nd overall off the board.  RGIII is still a rookie so you have to expect some growing pains this season, but I think he is well capable of a 3,300 yard 20 touchdown campaign through the air and an aditional 400 plus yards and 4-5 touchdowns on the ground.  I like to project conservative that way I don’t overvalue players, so assuming he can manage these numbers with about 15 interceptions (a high amount) would put him around 250 fantasy points which based off of last year numbers would have him as the 9th place QB and would have outscored Philip Rivers, Michael Vick and Ben Roethlisberger.  When you look at QB2’s you want upside so RGIII is one of the best available this season as he can easily reach and surpass the above mentioned projection.

3.  Ruben Randle:  Randle I have heard draw comparisons to his teammate Hakeem Nicks because they have similar size and speed.  There has been a lot of buzz surrounding him this offseason and because of a broken foot from Nicks this offseason Randle has been able to gain more chemistry with Eli Manning this season which can only help his value this season.  Nicks should be ok to start week 1 so Randle will be on the field only in 3 WR sets, but should still be able to produce decent numbers this offseason.  Also don’t forget that Nicks has yet to have a full season without injury so by drafting Randle you will likely have some games were he is a starter.  I think that for Randle to record 700 yards and 4 plus touchdowns is well within reach.  These numbers would equate to roughly 100 fantasy points this season making him great value considering he has a current ADP as the 46th WR and 135 overall meaning he is available in round 13-15.

So there you have it my top bargains for the NFC East.  Considering the amount of talent that is available in the first few rounds it was actually harder than usual to find the bargains in this division compared to others.  But as with all divisions value can be had at all points in the draft, and I have done my best to find 3 players who offer the value that can help you this season.  As always comments are encouraged.

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