The NFC East is one of the most stacked divisions in the NFL in terms of fantasy football players. Their are many players in the division who will be taken in the first few rounds like McCoy, Murray, Romo, Vick, Manning, Cruz, Nicks, and Bradshaw just to name a few. And while these players are all fantasy producers, there is still value to be had in the middle to late rounds that can help you win your league. Following are 3 players I feel offer the most value for their draft slots… (all analysis/points/etc. done at ESPN.com and use standard scoring.)
1. Fred Davis: Fred Davis has tremendous value at TE this season and could easily post top 10 numbers at his position. In 2011 Davis accumulated 796 yards and 3 touchdowns in only 12 games before being suspended for the final 4 games. Last season with sub-par QB play he still managed 9 or more fantasy points in 7 out of the 12 games. Now with RGIII running the offense I see a lot of targets for Davis because of his ability to get open and stable of unproven/mediocre WRs in Washington. Chris Cooley appears healthy this season but Davis has proven he is worth the being the starting TE this season and Cooley should not put a dent in Davis’ production this season. Currently Davis ADP (average draft position) is the 9th TE off the board and 104 overall meaning he should be available in round 10 and offer great value for your fantasy squad. He should have numbers at least close to players like Vernon Davis (ADP: 52), Jason Witten (ADP: 60) and Jermichael Finley (ADP: 67), so considering that he can be had 50 to 30 picks later than these players he is the definition of a draft bargain.
2. Robert Griffin III: After the insane rookie season Cam Newton had last season, people are drooling over RGIII thinking he can produce similar numbers. I’m not so optimistic because Newton had the best rookie season in NFL history throwing for over 4,000 yards and combining for 31 total touchdowns (14 on the ground, an NFL record for QB’s.) That being said RGIII still has a high ceiling this season as he can rack up fantasy points both through the air and on the ground. If you were to combine the statistics of Rex Grossman and John Beck last season you get a 4,000 yard 18 touchdown QB. That being said RGIII is head and shoulders above these players and is well worth his current ADP as the 13th QB and 82nd overall off the board. RGIII is still a rookie so you have to expect some growing pains this season, but I think he is well capable of a 3,300 yard 20 touchdown campaign through the air and an aditional 400 plus yards and 4-5 touchdowns on the ground. I like to project conservative that way I don’t overvalue players, so assuming he can manage these numbers with about 15 interceptions (a high amount) would put him around 250 fantasy points which based off of last year numbers would have him as the 9th place QB and would have outscored Philip Rivers, Michael Vick and Ben Roethlisberger. When you look at QB2’s you want upside so RGIII is one of the best available this season as he can easily reach and surpass the above mentioned projection.
3. Ruben Randle: Randle I have heard draw comparisons to his teammate Hakeem Nicks because they have similar size and speed. There has been a lot of buzz surrounding him this offseason and because of a broken foot from Nicks this offseason Randle has been able to gain more chemistry with Eli Manning this season which can only help his value this season. Nicks should be ok to start week 1 so Randle will be on the field only in 3 WR sets, but should still be able to produce decent numbers this offseason. Also don’t forget that Nicks has yet to have a full season without injury so by drafting Randle you will likely have some games were he is a starter. I think that for Randle to record 700 yards and 4 plus touchdowns is well within reach. These numbers would equate to roughly 100 fantasy points this season making him great value considering he has a current ADP as the 46th WR and 135 overall meaning he is available in round 13-15.
So there you have it my top bargains for the NFC East. Considering the amount of talent that is available in the first few rounds it was actually harder than usual to find the bargains in this division compared to others. But as with all divisions value can be had at all points in the draft, and I have done my best to find 3 players who offer the value that can help you this season. As always comments are encouraged.
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